Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Chinggis Warriors#116 in the world · win 2:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NEXVOID#102 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoChinggis Warriors ban
43%57%
Chinggis Warriors · 3 mapsedge NEXVOID +14%NEXVOID · 3 maps
AncientChinggis Warriors pick
67%67%
Chinggis Warriors · 2 mapsnearly even +0%NEXVOID · 2 maps
Dust2NEXVOID pick
40%71%
Chinggis Warriors · 1 mapedge NEXVOID +31%NEXVOID · 3 maps
OverpassChinggis Warriors ban
40%43%
Chinggis Warriors · 1 mapnearly even -3%NEXVOID · 3 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%60%
Chinggis Warriors · 2 mapsedge NEXVOID +10%NEXVOID · 1 map
DefaultNEXVOID ban
60%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 1 mapedge Chinggis Warriors +10%NEXVOID · 0 maps
MirageNEXVOID ban
40%50%
Chinggis Warriors · 1 mapedge NEXVOID +10%NEXVOID · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanChinggis Warriors remove Overpass
2. BanNEXVOID remove Mirage
3. PickChinggis Warriors take Ancient
4. PickNEXVOID take Dust2
5. BanNEXVOID remove Default
6. BanChinggis Warriors remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Chinggis Warriors 60%NEXVOID 40%
The model gave 60% on Chinggis Warriors — the map was taken by Chinggis Warriors.
Overpassprediction correct13:16
Chinggis Warriors 44%NEXVOID 56%
The model gave 56% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by NEXVOID.
Nukeprediction missed19:15
Chinggis Warriors 40%NEXVOID 60%
The model gave 60% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by Chinggis Warriors.
Model check result
Model favoriteNEXVOID · 58%
Series resultChinggis Warriors 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3