CROSSFIRE Season 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Club 333#229 in the world · win 2:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Overtake Sector#143 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Club 333 pick
50%63%
Club 333 · 6 mapsedge Overtake Sector +13%Overtake Sector · 4 maps
MirageOvertake Sector pick
57%50%
Club 333 · 3 mapsedge Club 333 +7%Overtake Sector · 6 maps
InfernoOvertake Sector ban
50%33%
Club 333 · 6 mapsedge Club 333 +17%Overtake Sector · 2 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%22%
Club 333 · 0 mapsedge Club 333 +28%Overtake Sector · 5 maps
NukeOvertake Sector ban
44%50%
Club 333 · 5 mapsedge Overtake Sector +6%Overtake Sector · 0 maps
AnubisClub 333 ban
50%67%
Club 333 · 0 mapsedge Overtake Sector +17%Overtake Sector · 2 maps
OverpassClub 333 ban
50%50%
Club 333 · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Overtake Sector · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanClub 333 remove Anubis
2. BanOvertake Sector remove Nuke
3. PickClub 333 take Dust2
4. PickOvertake Sector take Mirage
5. BanOvertake Sector remove Inferno
6. BanClub 333 remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (50% / 22%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:9
Club 333 69%Overtake Sector 31%
The model gave 69% on Club 333 — the map was taken by Club 333.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
Club 333 54%Overtake Sector 46%
The model gave 54% on Club 333 — the map was taken by Overtake Sector.
Dust2prediction missed13:7
Club 333 38%Overtake Sector 62%
The model gave 63% on Overtake Sector — the map was taken by Club 333.
Model check result
Model favoriteOvertake Sector · 51%
Series resultClub 333 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3