CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SPARTA#89 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Color pick
61%67%
Color · 14 mapsedge SPARTA +6%SPARTA · 39 maps
Miragepossible decider
69%56%
Color · 9 mapsedge Color +13%SPARTA · 21 map
AncientSPARTA ban
58%43%
Color · 8 mapsedge Color +15%SPARTA · 19 maps
CacheSPARTA pick
40%53%
Color · 6 mapsedge SPARTA +13%SPARTA · 13 maps
NukeColor ban
50%50%
Color · 0 mapsnearly even +0%SPARTA · 18 maps
InfernoColor ban
44%53%
Color · 5 mapsedge SPARTA +9%SPARTA · 11 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
55%43%
Color · 7 mapsedge Color +12%SPARTA · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanColor remove Nuke
2. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
3. PickColor take Dust2
4. PickSPARTA take Cache
5. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
6. BanColor remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (69% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:7
Color 38%SPARTA 62%
The model gave 62% on SPARTA — the map was taken by Color.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
Color 46%SPARTA 54%
The model gave 54% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
Color 64%SPARTA 36%
The model gave 64% on Color — the map was taken by Color.
Model check result
Model favoriteColor · 55%
Series resultColor 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3