NODWIN Clutch Series 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
CYBERSHOKE Prospects#140 in the world · win 1:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:0
illwillloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2illwill pick
63%55%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 12 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +8%illwill · 7 maps
AncientCYBERSHOKE Prospects pick
60%40%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 11 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +20%illwill · 1 map
MirageCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
56%40%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 5 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +16%illwill · 6 maps
NukeCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
45%29%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 7 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +16%illwill · 3 maps
Anubisillwill ban
67%33%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 5 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +34%illwill · 2 maps
Infernoillwill ban
45%50%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 7 mapsedge illwill +5%illwill · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%33%
CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 1 mapedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +27%illwill · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Nuke
2. Banillwill remove Anubis
3. PickCYBERSHOKE Prospects take Ancient
4. Pickillwill take Dust2
5. Banillwill remove Inferno
6. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Mirage
DeciderDefault (60% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
CYBERSHOKE Prospects 75%illwill 25%
The model gave 75% on CYBERSHOKE Prospects — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBERSHOKE Prospects · 75%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE Prospects 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1