ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · BO3
pre-match predictionseries probability
44%56%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Dark Moon pick
56%43%
Dark Moon · 5 mapsedge Dark Moon +13%Banger Gang · 3 maps
MirageBanger Gang pick
44%67%
Dark Moon · 5 mapsedge Banger Gang +23%Banger Gang · 2 maps
AncientBanger Gang ban
33%40%
Dark Moon · 2 mapsedge Banger Gang +7%Banger Gang · 1 map
AnubisDark Moon ban
40%60%
Dark Moon · 1 mapedge Banger Gang +20%Banger Gang · 1 map
DefaultBanger Gang ban
50%50%
Dark Moon · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Banger Gang · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%50%
Dark Moon · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Banger Gang · 0 maps
NukeDark Moon ban
40%50%
Dark Moon · 1 mapedge Banger Gang +10%Banger Gang · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDark Moon remove Nuke
2. BanBanger Gang remove Ancient
3. PickDark Moon take Dust2
4. PickBanger Gang take Mirage
5. BanBanger Gang remove Default
6. BanDark Moon remove Anubis
DeciderInferno (50% / 50%)