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PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO5
result vs prediction
DENDELE#49 in the world · win 3:1
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 3:1
Fluxo#63 in the world · loss 1:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFluxo pick
63%62%
DENDELE · 4 mapsnearly even +1%Fluxo · 25 maps
MirageFluxo pick
36%72%
DENDELE · 7 mapsedge Fluxo +36%Fluxo · 14 maps
CacheDENDELE pick
58%54%
DENDELE · 8 mapsnearly even +4%Fluxo · 9 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
50%50%
DENDELE · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Fluxo · 14 maps
Infernopossible decider
57%53%
DENDELE · 3 mapsnearly even +4%Fluxo · 11 maps
AnubisDENDELE pick
63%45%
DENDELE · 4 mapsedge DENDELE +18%Fluxo · 7 maps
AncientFluxo ban
38%50%
DENDELE · 4 mapsedge Fluxo +12%Fluxo · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
2. BanFluxo remove Ancient
3. PickDENDELE take Cache
4. PickFluxo take Nuke
5. PickDENDELE take Anubis
6. PickFluxo take Mirage
DeciderInferno (57% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:16
DENDELE 53%Fluxo 47%
The model gave 53% on DENDELE — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Mirageprediction missed13:7
DENDELE 16%Fluxo 84%
The model gave 84% on Fluxo — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Cacheprediction correct13:10
DENDELE 58%Fluxo 42%
The model gave 58% on DENDELE — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Anubisprediction correct13:2
DENDELE 64%Fluxo 36%
The model gave 64% on DENDELE — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Model check result
Model favoriteDENDELE · 70%
Series resultDENDELE 3:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 4