BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
DENDELE#41 in the world · win 2:1series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 2:1
FURIA#4 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageDENDELE ban
50%58%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge FURIA +8%FURIA · 8 maps
NukeFURIA ban
50%55%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge FURIA +5%FURIA · 7 maps
Dust2DENDELE pick
50%40%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge DENDELE +10%FURIA · 6 maps
InfernoFURIA pick
50%60%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge FURIA +10%FURIA · 6 maps
OverpassDENDELE ban
50%70%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge FURIA +20%FURIA · 6 maps
AnubisFURIA ban
50%40%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge DENDELE +10%FURIA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDENDELE remove Overpass
2. BanFURIA remove Anubis
3. PickDENDELE take Dust2
4. PickFURIA take Inferno
5. BanFURIA remove Nuke
6. BanDENDELE remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:6
DENDELE 63%FURIA 37%
The model gave 63% on DENDELE — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Mirageprediction correct6:13
DENDELE 39%FURIA 61%
The model gave 61% on FURIA — the map was taken by FURIA.
Cacheprediction correct16:14
DENDELE 50%FURIA 50%
The model gave 50% on DENDELE — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Model check result
Model favoriteFURIA · 87%
Series resultDENDELE 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3