FRAG University 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
DENDELE#41 in the world · win 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Imperial#51 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageImperial pick
47%76%
DENDELE · 11 mapsedge Imperial +29%Imperial · 21 map
InfernoDENDELE ban
56%61%
DENDELE · 5 mapsedge Imperial +5%Imperial · 24 maps
CacheDENDELE pick
59%61%
DENDELE · 13 mapsnearly even -2%Imperial · 14 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%70%
DENDELE · 6 mapsedge Imperial +20%Imperial · 19 maps
Dust2DENDELE ban
50%60%
DENDELE · 0 mapsedge Imperial +10%Imperial · 16 maps
AnubisImperial ban
60%58%
DENDELE · 6 mapsnearly even +2%Imperial · 8 maps
AncientImperial ban
55%50%
DENDELE · 7 mapsedge DENDELE +5%Imperial · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDENDELE remove Dust2
2. BanImperial remove Ancient
3. PickDENDELE take Cache
4. PickImperial take Mirage
5. BanImperial remove Anubis
6. BanDENDELE remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (50% / 70%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:8
DENDELE 20%Imperial 80%
The model gave 80% on Imperial — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Infernoprediction missed13:11
DENDELE 48%Imperial 52%
The model gave 52% on Imperial — the map was taken by DENDELE.
Model check result
Model favoriteDENDELE · 69%
Series resultDENDELE 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2