FRAG UPGRADE Masters Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
DEPO#87 in the world · win 2:0series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EGOISTOloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2DEPO ban
50%50%
DEPO · 10 mapsnearly even +0%EGOISTO · 0 maps
AncientEGOISTO ban
54%50%
DEPO · 9 mapsnearly even +4%EGOISTO · 0 maps
MirageDEPO pick
54%50%
DEPO · 9 mapsnearly even +4%EGOISTO · 0 maps
InfernoEGOISTO pick
44%50%
DEPO · 5 mapsedge EGOISTO +6%EGOISTO · 0 maps
CacheEGOISTO ban
57%50%
DEPO · 3 mapsedge DEPO +7%EGOISTO · 0 maps
AnubisDEPO ban
33%50%
DEPO · 2 mapsedge EGOISTO +17%EGOISTO · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDEPO remove Anubis
2. BanEGOISTO remove Cache
3. PickDEPO take Mirage
4. PickEGOISTO take Inferno
5. BanEGOISTO remove Ancient
6. BanDEPO remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:5
DEPO 60%EGOISTO 40%
The model gave 60% on DEPO — the map was taken by DEPO.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
DEPO 51%EGOISTO 49%
The model gave 51% on DEPO — the map was taken by DEPO.
Model check result
Model favoriteDEPO · 70%
Series resultDEPO 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2