?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
DONSTU#221 in the world · loss 1:2
series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:2
CYBERSHOKE Prospects#140 in the world · win 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2DONSTU pick
50%33%
DONSTU · 0 mapsedge DONSTU +17%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 2 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE Prospects pick
50%60%
DONSTU · 0 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +10%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 1 map
DefaultCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
50%60%
DONSTU · 0 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +10%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 1 map
InfernoDONSTU ban
50%60%
DONSTU · 0 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE Prospects +10%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 1 map
NukeCYBERSHOKE Prospects ban
50%40%
DONSTU · 0 mapsedge DONSTU +10%CYBERSHOKE Prospects · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDONSTU remove Inferno
2. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Nuke
3. PickDONSTU take Dust2
4. PickCYBERSHOKE Prospects take Anubis
5. BanCYBERSHOKE Prospects remove Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct12:16
DONSTU 37%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 63%
The model gave 63% on CYBERSHOKE Prospects — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Anubisprediction missed13:4
DONSTU 43%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 57%
The model gave 57% on CYBERSHOKE Prospects — the map was taken by DONSTU.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
DONSTU 67%CYBERSHOKE Prospects 33%
The model gave 67% on DONSTU — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE Prospects.
Model check result
Model favoriteCYBERSHOKE Prospects · 58%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE Prospects 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3