CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageJust Players pick
50%54%
Drip Too Hard · 0 mapsnearly even -4%Just Players · 31 map
Dust2Drip Too Hard ban
40%41%
Drip Too Hard · 1 mapnearly even -1%Just Players · 23 maps
AncientDrip Too Hard pick
60%64%
Drip Too Hard · 1 mapnearly even -4%Just Players · 21 map
NukeJust Players ban
60%31%
Drip Too Hard · 1 mapedge Drip Too Hard +29%Just Players · 12 maps
AnubisJust Players ban
50%64%
Drip Too Hard · 2 mapsedge Just Players +14%Just Players · 7 maps
CacheDrip Too Hard ban
50%27%
Drip Too Hard · 0 mapsedge Drip Too Hard +23%Just Players · 7 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%60%
Drip Too Hard · 1 mapnearly even +0%Just Players · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDrip Too Hard remove Cache
2. BanJust Players remove Nuke
3. PickDrip Too Hard take Ancient
4. PickJust Players take Mirage
5. BanJust Players remove Anubis
6. BanDrip Too Hard remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
Drip Too Hard 79%Just Players 21%
The model gave 79% on Drip Too Hard — the map was taken by Drip Too Hard.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
Drip Too Hard 43%Just Players 57%
The model gave 57% on Just Players — the map was taken by Just Players.
Cacheprediction missed6:13
Drip Too Hard 73%Just Players 27%
The model gave 73% on Drip Too Hard — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteJust Players · 72%
Series resultJust Players 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3