CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Dripmen#231 in the world · win 1:0series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:0
EC BANGA#272 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultEC BANGA pick
40%50%
Dripmen · 1 mapedge EC BANGA +10%EC BANGA · 0 maps
InfernoDripmen pick
50%60%
Dripmen · 0 mapsedge EC BANGA +10%EC BANGA · 1 map
MirageDripmen ban
50%40%
Dripmen · 0 mapsedge Dripmen +10%EC BANGA · 1 map
OverpassEC BANGA ban
50%40%
Dripmen · 0 mapsedge Dripmen +10%EC BANGA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDripmen remove Mirage
2. BanEC BANGA remove Overpass
3. PickDripmen take Inferno
4. PickEC BANGA take Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Dripmen 40%EC BANGA 60%
The model gave 60% on EC BANGA — the map was taken by Dripmen.
Model check result
Model favoriteDripmen · 54%
Series resultDripmen 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1