CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Dripmen#231 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Famalicão#357 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultFamalicão ban
50%50%
Dripmen · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Famalicão · 0 maps
InfernoDripmen pick
50%40%
Dripmen · 0 mapsedge Dripmen +10%Famalicão · 1 map
MirageDripmen ban
50%60%
Dripmen · 0 mapsedge Famalicão +10%Famalicão · 1 map
OverpassFamalicão pick
50%60%
Dripmen · 0 mapsedge Famalicão +10%Famalicão · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanDripmen remove Mirage
2. BanFamalicão remove Default
3. PickDripmen take Inferno
4. PickFamalicão take Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct10:13
Dripmen 47%Famalicão 53%
The model gave 53% on Famalicão — the map was taken by Famalicão.
Infernoprediction correct13:10
Dripmen 63%Famalicão 37%
The model gave 63% on Dripmen — the map was taken by Dripmen.
Overpassprediction correct7:13
Dripmen 40%Famalicão 60%
The model gave 60% on Famalicão — the map was taken by Famalicão.
Model check result
Model favoriteFamalicão · 54%
Series resultFamalicão 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3