CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
EAC#76 in the world · win 2:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Entropy#159 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEntropy ban
50%43%
EAC · 8 mapsedge EAC +7%Entropy · 19 maps
Ancientpossible decider
38%53%
EAC · 9 mapsedge Entropy +15%Entropy · 11 maps
NukeEntropy ban
38%40%
EAC · 12 mapsnearly even -2%Entropy · 1 map
OverpassEAC pick
50%38%
EAC · 8 mapsedge EAC +12%Entropy · 4 maps
AnubisEAC ban
40%50%
EAC · 1 mapedge Entropy +10%Entropy · 10 maps
Dust2EAC ban
40%31%
EAC · 1 mapedge EAC +9%Entropy · 9 maps
CacheEntropy pick
60%64%
EAC · 1 mapnearly even -4%Entropy · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEAC remove Dust2
2. BanEntropy remove Nuke
3. PickEAC take Overpass
4. PickEntropy take Cache
5. BanEntropy remove Mirage
6. BanEAC remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (38% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
EAC 59%Entropy 41%
The model gave 59% on EAC — the map was taken by Entropy.
Cacheprediction missed13:7
EAC 43%Entropy 57%
The model gave 57% on Entropy — the map was taken by EAC.
Ancientprediction missed13:9
EAC 35%Entropy 65%
The model gave 65% on Entropy — the map was taken by EAC.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 62%
Series resultEAC 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3