CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
EAC#76 in the world · win 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
megoshort#179 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragemegoshort pick
48%50%
EAC · 21 mapnearly even -2%megoshort · 12 maps
AncientEAC pick
59%60%
EAC · 18 mapsnearly even -1%megoshort · 11 maps
Anubismegoshort ban
50%57%
EAC · 14 mapsedge megoshort +7%megoshort · 3 maps
CacheEAC ban
60%56%
EAC · 11 mapsnearly even +4%megoshort · 5 maps
InfernoEAC ban
38%44%
EAC · 9 mapsedge megoshort +6%megoshort · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
57%45%
EAC · 3 mapsedge EAC +12%megoshort · 7 maps
Nukemegoshort ban
50%50%
EAC · 10 mapsnearly even +0%megoshort · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEAC remove Inferno
2. Banmegoshort remove Nuke
3. PickEAC take Ancient
4. Pickmegoshort take Mirage
5. Banmegoshort remove Anubis
6. BanEAC remove Cache
DeciderDefault (57% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct13:9
EAC 58%megoshort 42%
The model gave 58% on EAC — the map was taken by EAC.
Mirageprediction missed13:2
EAC 45%megoshort 55%
The model gave 55% on megoshort — the map was taken by EAC.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAC · 64%
Series resultEAC 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2