IEM Beijing 2026 Open Qualifier · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 9:13
CYBERSHOKE#90 in the world · win 13:9The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEcho ban
55%62%
Echo · 7 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +7%CYBERSHOKE · 17 maps
Dust2Echo ban
50%54%
Echo · 0 mapsnearly even -4%CYBERSHOKE · 20 maps
NukeCYBERSHOKE ban
71%46%
Echo · 10 mapsedge Echo +25%CYBERSHOKE · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
56%63%
Echo · 5 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +7%CYBERSHOKE · 12 maps
OverpassEcho ban
40%60%
Echo · 6 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +20%CYBERSHOKE · 6 maps
AnubisCYBERSHOKE ban
50%38%
Echo · 6 mapsedge Echo +12%CYBERSHOKE · 4 maps
CacheCYBERSHOKE ban
67%50%
Echo · 2 mapsedge Echo +17%CYBERSHOKE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEcho remove Dust2
2. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Anubis
3. BanEcho remove Ancient
4. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Nuke
5. BanEcho remove Overpass
6. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Cache
DeciderMirage (56% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
Echo 43%CYBERSHOKE 57%
The model gave 57% on CYBERSHOKE — the map was taken by CYBERSHOKE.
Model check result
Model favoriteEcho · 65%
Series resultCYBERSHOKE 9:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1