Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukePassion Chicha ban
73%50%
Echo · 7 mapsedge Echo +23%Passion Chicha · 0 maps
AncientPassion Chicha ban
60%50%
Echo · 6 mapsedge Echo +10%Passion Chicha · 0 maps
OverpassEcho pick
40%50%
Echo · 6 mapsedge Passion Chicha +10%Passion Chicha · 0 maps
AnubisEcho ban
56%50%
Echo · 5 mapsedge Echo +6%Passion Chicha · 0 maps
MirageEcho ban
50%50%
Echo · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Passion Chicha · 0 maps
InfernoPassion Chicha pick
29%50%
Echo · 3 mapsedge Passion Chicha +21%Passion Chicha · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEcho remove Mirage
2. BanPassion Chicha remove Nuke
3. PickEcho take Overpass
4. PickPassion Chicha take Inferno
5. BanPassion Chicha remove Ancient
6. BanEcho remove Anubis
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:2
Echo 47%Passion Chicha 53%
The model gave 53% on Passion Chicha — the map was taken by Echo.
Nukeprediction correct13:1
Echo 75%Passion Chicha 25%
The model gave 75% on Echo — the map was taken by Echo.
Model check result
Model favoriteEcho · 85%
Series resultEcho 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2