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CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Echo#53 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Phantom#88 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEcho pick
50%44%
Echo · 0 mapsedge Echo +6%Phantom · 12 maps
Dust2Echo ban
50%69%
Echo · 0 mapsedge Phantom +19%Phantom · 9 maps
NukePhantom pick
50%54%
Echo · 0 mapsnearly even -4%Phantom · 9 maps
AncientPhantom ban
50%44%
Echo · 0 mapsedge Echo +6%Phantom · 5 maps
OverpassPhantom ban
50%56%
Echo · 0 mapsedge Phantom +6%Phantom · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEcho remove Dust2
2. BanPhantom remove Ancient
3. PickEcho take Mirage
4. PickPhantom take Nuke
5. BanPhantom remove Overpass
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed9:13
Echo 53%Phantom 47%
The model gave 53% on Echo — the map was taken by Phantom.
Overpassprediction correct11:13
Echo 47%Phantom 53%
The model gave 53% on Phantom — the map was taken by Phantom.
Model check result
Model favoriteEcho · 63%
Series resultPhantom 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2