CCT 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Isurus#186 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
DefaultIsurus ban
50%60%
ELITES · 2 mapsedge Isurus +10%Isurus · 1 map
Dust2ELITES ban
50%57%
ELITES · 0 mapsedge Isurus +7%Isurus · 3 maps
AncientIsurus ban
50%33%
ELITES · 0 mapsedge ELITES +17%Isurus · 2 maps
InfernoIsurus pick
50%50%
ELITES · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Isurus · 2 maps
MirageELITES pick
50%50%
ELITES · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Isurus · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanELITES remove Dust2
2. BanIsurus remove Ancient
3. PickELITES take Mirage
4. PickIsurus take Inferno
5. BanIsurus remove Default
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed4:13
ELITES 53%Isurus 47%
The model gave 53% on ELITES — the map was taken by Isurus.
Dust2prediction correct14:16
ELITES 40%Isurus 60%
The model gave 60% on Isurus — the map was taken by Isurus.
Model check result
Model favoriteIsurus · 67%
Series resultIsurus 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2