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ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Elusive
series probability
48%52%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Zomblers
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoZomblers pick
50%67%
Elusive · 2 mapsedge Zomblers +17%Zomblers · 2 maps
AncientZomblers ban
43%50%
Elusive · 3 mapsedge Zomblers +7%Zomblers · 0 maps
NukeElusive pick
60%50%
Elusive · 1 mapedge Elusive +10%Zomblers · 2 maps
Dust2Elusive ban
50%50%
Elusive · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Zomblers · 2 maps
MirageZomblers ban
60%60%
Elusive · 1 mapnearly even +0%Zomblers · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanElusive remove Dust2
2. BanZomblers remove Ancient
3. PickElusive take Nuke
4. PickZomblers take Inferno
5. BanZomblers remove Mirage