Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · BO1
pre-match prediction
ENCE#112 in the worldseries probability
77%23%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
60%38%
ENCE · 21 mapedge ENCE +22%BOJONG · 4 maps
NukeENCE ban
53%40%
ENCE · 15 mapsedge ENCE +13%BOJONG · 1 map
InfernoBOJONG ban
61%40%
ENCE · 14 mapsedge ENCE +21%BOJONG · 1 map
Dust2BOJONG ban
44%50%
ENCE · 12 mapsedge BOJONG +6%BOJONG · 0 maps
CacheENCE ban
46%40%
ENCE · 9 mapsedge ENCE +6%BOJONG · 1 map
AnubisBOJONG ban
50%40%
ENCE · 8 mapsedge ENCE +10%BOJONG · 1 map
AncientENCE ban
25%57%
ENCE · 4 mapsedge BOJONG +32%BOJONG · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanENCE remove Ancient
2. BanBOJONG remove Dust2
3. BanENCE remove Cache
4. BanBOJONG remove Anubis
5. BanENCE remove Nuke
6. BanBOJONG remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (60% / 38%)