CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ENCE#112 in the world · win 2:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Entropy#159 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageENCE pick
55%29%
ENCE · 7 mapsedge ENCE +26%Entropy · 3 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%57%
ENCE · 4 mapsedge Entropy +7%Entropy · 3 maps
AnubisEntropy pick
60%44%
ENCE · 1 mapedge ENCE +16%Entropy · 5 maps
OverpassEntropy ban
50%29%
ENCE · 2 mapsedge ENCE +21%Entropy · 3 maps
NukeEntropy ban
75%50%
ENCE · 4 mapsedge ENCE +25%Entropy · 0 maps
InfernoENCE ban
33%40%
ENCE · 2 mapsedge Entropy +7%Entropy · 1 map
Dust2ENCE ban
50%50%
ENCE · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Entropy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanENCE remove Inferno
2. BanEntropy remove Nuke
3. PickENCE take Mirage
4. PickEntropy take Anubis
5. BanEntropy remove Overpass
6. BanENCE remove Dust2
DeciderAncient (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed16:13
ENCE 40%Entropy 60%
The model gave 60% on Entropy — the map was taken by ENCE.
Mirageprediction missed12:16
ENCE 77%Entropy 23%
The model gave 77% on ENCE — the map was taken by Entropy.
Ancientprediction missed16:14
ENCE 43%Entropy 57%
The model gave 57% on Entropy — the map was taken by ENCE.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 58%
Series resultENCE 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3