European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ENCE#112 in the world · win 2:0series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
UNiTY#102 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientUNiTY pick
50%43%
ENCE · 2 mapsedge ENCE +7%UNiTY · 10 maps
Dust2UNiTY ban
60%46%
ENCE · 1 mapedge ENCE +14%UNiTY · 9 maps
MirageENCE pick
67%50%
ENCE · 2 mapsedge ENCE +17%UNiTY · 8 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%44%
ENCE · 0 mapsedge ENCE +6%UNiTY · 5 maps
InfernoENCE ban
33%67%
ENCE · 2 mapsedge UNiTY +34%UNiTY · 2 maps
OverpassUNiTY ban
40%60%
ENCE · 1 mapedge UNiTY +20%UNiTY · 1 map
DefaultENCE ban
50%60%
ENCE · 0 mapsedge UNiTY +10%UNiTY · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanENCE remove Inferno
2. BanUNiTY remove Overpass
3. PickENCE take Mirage
4. PickUNiTY take Ancient
5. BanUNiTY remove Dust2
6. BanENCE remove Default
DeciderAnubis (50% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:0
ENCE 69%UNiTY 31%
The model gave 69% on ENCE — the map was taken by ENCE.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
ENCE 53%UNiTY 47%
The model gave 53% on ENCE — the map was taken by ENCE.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNiTY · 56%
Series resultENCE 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2