Exort Fiesta Series 2 · BO3
live · recalculated in real time
ENCE#130 in the worldseries probability now
36%64%
was 50% pre-match
UNiTY#94 in the worldIn live mode the model factors in the current map and round score, team winrate on the maps being played and form. The probability is recalculated as the match unfolds.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
53%53%
ENCE · 13 mapsnearly even +0%UNiTY · 13 maps
AncientENCE ban
22%63%
ENCE · 5 mapsedge UNiTY +41%UNiTY · 15 maps
InfernoENCE pick
70%50%
ENCE · 6 mapsedge ENCE +20%UNiTY · 12 maps
CacheUNiTY ban
55%42%
ENCE · 7 mapsedge ENCE +13%UNiTY · 8 maps
AnubisUNiTY pick
60%67%
ENCE · 6 mapsedge UNiTY +7%UNiTY · 8 maps
NukeUNiTY ban
46%29%
ENCE · 9 mapsedge ENCE +17%UNiTY · 3 maps
Dust2ENCE ban
50%43%
ENCE · 0 mapsedge ENCE +7%UNiTY · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanENCE remove Ancient
2. BanUNiTY remove Nuke
3. PickENCE take Inferno
4. PickUNiTY take Anubis
5. BanUNiTY remove Cache
6. BanENCE remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (53% / 53%)
Probability by map
For each map in the series — win chance factoring in the round score and historical map winrate over 3 months. Played maps are locked, the current one is recalculated by the score.
Dust2finished · UNiTY pick11:13
UNiTY won — 100%
Infernonot played · ENCE pick— : —
ENCE 72%UNiTY 28%
Historical winrate over 3 months: ENCE 70% (6 maps) vs 50% (12 maps) for UNiTY.
Miragenot played · decider— : —
ENCE 50%UNiTY 50%
Historical winrate over 3 months: ENCE 53% (13 maps) vs 53% (13 maps) for UNiTY.