CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Endless Journey#172 in the world · win 1:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Misa#115 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
50%67%
Endless Journey · 2 mapsedge Misa +17%Misa · 14 maps
NukeEndless Journey pick
63%46%
Endless Journey · 4 mapsedge Endless Journey +17%Misa · 9 maps
MirageMisa ban
67%46%
Endless Journey · 2 mapsedge Endless Journey +21%Misa · 9 maps
InfernoEndless Journey ban
43%40%
Endless Journey · 3 mapsnearly even +3%Misa · 6 maps
AnubisEndless Journey ban
40%44%
Endless Journey · 1 mapnearly even -4%Misa · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%67%
Endless Journey · 1 mapedge Misa +7%Misa · 2 maps
OverpassMisa ban
60%33%
Endless Journey · 1 mapedge Endless Journey +27%Misa · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEndless Journey remove Anubis
2. BanMisa remove Mirage
3. PickEndless Journey take Nuke
4. PickMisa take Dust2
5. BanMisa remove Overpass
6. BanEndless Journey remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (60% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Endless Journey 43%Misa 57%
The model gave 57% on Misa — the map was taken by Endless Journey.
Model check result
Model favoriteEndless Journey · 61%
Series resultEndless Journey 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1