NODWIN Clutch Series 13 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Enjoy#199 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
6666#80 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEnjoy pick
52%63%
Enjoy · 17 mapsedge 6666 +11%6666 · 4 maps
Dust2possible decider
41%50%
Enjoy · 13 mapsedge 6666 +9%6666 · 4 maps
Inferno6666 ban
25%17%
Enjoy · 8 mapsedge Enjoy +8%6666 · 8 maps
Ancient6666 pick
50%55%
Enjoy · 8 mapsedge 6666 +5%6666 · 7 maps
Cache6666 ban
56%50%
Enjoy · 14 mapsedge Enjoy +6%6666 · 0 maps
AnubisEnjoy ban
40%55%
Enjoy · 1 mapedge 6666 +15%6666 · 7 maps
NukeEnjoy ban
29%40%
Enjoy · 3 mapsedge 6666 +11%6666 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEnjoy remove Nuke
2. Ban6666 remove Cache
3. PickEnjoy take Mirage
4. Pick6666 take Ancient
5. Ban6666 remove Inferno
6. BanEnjoy remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (41% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct4:13
Enjoy 33%6666 67%
The model gave 67% on 6666 — the map was taken by 6666.
Dust2prediction correct10:13
Enjoy 44%6666 56%
The model gave 56% on 6666 — the map was taken by 6666.
Model check result
Model favorite6666 · 63%
Series result6666 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2