CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Enjoy#199 in the world · win 2:1series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Illyrians#144 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageIllyrians pick
52%67%
Enjoy · 17 mapsedge Illyrians +15%Illyrians · 11 maps
Dust2Illyrians ban
47%36%
Enjoy · 13 mapsedge Enjoy +11%Illyrians · 10 maps
CacheIllyrians ban
53%43%
Enjoy · 15 mapsedge Enjoy +10%Illyrians · 3 maps
Ancientpossible decider
45%56%
Enjoy · 7 mapsedge Illyrians +11%Illyrians · 5 maps
InfernoEnjoy ban
25%50%
Enjoy · 8 mapsedge Illyrians +25%Illyrians · 2 maps
DefaultEnjoy pick
71%50%
Enjoy · 3 mapsedge Enjoy +21%Illyrians · 2 maps
AnubisEnjoy ban
40%71%
Enjoy · 1 mapedge Illyrians +31%Illyrians · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEnjoy remove Inferno
2. BanIllyrians remove Cache
3. PickEnjoy take Default
4. PickIllyrians take Mirage
5. BanIllyrians remove Dust2
6. BanEnjoy remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (45% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:7
Enjoy 43%Illyrians 57%
The model gave 57% on Illyrians — the map was taken by Enjoy.
Dust2prediction missed6:13
Enjoy 59%Illyrians 41%
The model gave 59% on Enjoy — the map was taken by Illyrians.
Mirageprediction missed13:11
Enjoy 35%Illyrians 65%
The model gave 65% on Illyrians — the map was taken by Enjoy.
Model check result
Model favoriteIllyrians · 56%
Series resultEnjoy 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3