CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Entropy#159 in the world · win 2:1series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Honvéd#144 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageHonvéd pick
39%59%
Entropy · 14 mapsedge Honvéd +20%Honvéd · 13 maps
Dust2Entropy ban
40%65%
Entropy · 6 mapsedge Honvéd +25%Honvéd · 13 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%60%
Entropy · 8 mapsedge Honvéd +10%Honvéd · 6 maps
AnubisEntropy pick
50%67%
Entropy · 10 mapsedge Honvéd +17%Honvéd · 2 maps
OverpassEntropy ban
38%29%
Entropy · 4 mapsedge Entropy +9%Honvéd · 3 maps
InfernoHonvéd ban
38%33%
Entropy · 4 mapsedge Entropy +5%Honvéd · 2 maps
CacheHonvéd ban
67%50%
Entropy · 5 mapsedge Entropy +17%Honvéd · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEntropy remove Dust2
2. BanHonvéd remove Cache
3. PickEntropy take Anubis
4. PickHonvéd take Mirage
5. BanHonvéd remove Inferno
6. BanEntropy remove Overpass
DeciderAncient (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:3
Entropy 28%Honvéd 72%
The model gave 72% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Entropy.
Ancientprediction correct8:13
Entropy 43%Honvéd 57%
The model gave 57% on Honvéd — the map was taken by Honvéd.
Infernoprediction correct19:15
Entropy 55%Honvéd 45%
The model gave 55% on Entropy — the map was taken by Entropy.
Model check result
Model favoriteHonvéd · 55%
Series resultEntropy 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3