Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entropy#159 in the world · win 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageMai Tai pick
48%46%
Entropy · 23 mapsnearly even +2%Mai Tai · 9 maps
AncientEntropy ban
50%38%
Entropy · 14 mapsedge Entropy +12%Mai Tai · 4 maps
CacheEntropy pick
53%57%
Entropy · 11 mapsnearly even -4%Mai Tai · 3 maps
Dust2Entropy ban
27%50%
Entropy · 11 mapsedge Mai Tai +23%Mai Tai · 2 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
53%40%
Entropy · 11 mapsedge Entropy +13%Mai Tai · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
50%45%
Entropy · 4 mapsedge Entropy +5%Mai Tai · 7 maps
InfernoMai Tai ban
44%50%
Entropy · 5 mapsedge Mai Tai +6%Mai Tai · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEntropy remove Dust2
2. BanMai Tai remove Inferno
3. PickEntropy take Cache
4. PickMai Tai take Mirage
5. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
6. BanEntropy remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (50% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
Entropy 60%Mai Tai 40%
The model gave 60% on Entropy — the map was taken by Entropy.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Entropy 55%Mai Tai 45%
The model gave 55% on Entropy — the map was taken by Entropy.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 60%
Series resultEntropy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2