CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Entropy#159 in the world · win 2:1series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NEW VISION#204 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEntropy ban
44%38%
Entropy · 21 mapedge Entropy +6%NEW VISION · 4 maps
AncientNEW VISION pick
50%36%
Entropy · 12 mapsedge Entropy +14%NEW VISION · 10 maps
Anubispossible decider
50%42%
Entropy · 10 mapsedge Entropy +8%NEW VISION · 8 maps
Dust2NEW VISION ban
31%45%
Entropy · 9 mapsedge NEW VISION +14%NEW VISION · 7 maps
InfernoNEW VISION ban
44%44%
Entropy · 5 mapsnearly even +0%NEW VISION · 5 maps
CacheEntropy pick
58%50%
Entropy · 8 mapsedge Entropy +8%NEW VISION · 0 maps
NukeEntropy ban
40%44%
Entropy · 1 mapnearly even -4%NEW VISION · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEntropy remove Nuke
2. BanNEW VISION remove Inferno
3. PickEntropy take Cache
4. PickNEW VISION take Ancient
5. BanNEW VISION remove Dust2
6. BanEntropy remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (50% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
Entropy 61%NEW VISION 39%
The model gave 61% on Entropy — the map was taken by NEW VISION.
Mirageprediction correct13:4
Entropy 60%NEW VISION 40%
The model gave 60% on Entropy — the map was taken by Entropy.
Anubisprediction correct13:3
Entropy 58%NEW VISION 42%
The model gave 58% on Entropy — the map was taken by Entropy.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 58%
Series resultEntropy 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3