CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Entropy#159 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Phantom Academy#173 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageEntropy pick
54%73%
Entropy · 37 mapsedge Phantom Academy +19%Phantom Academy · 11 maps
AncientEntropy ban
50%38%
Entropy · 18 mapsedge Entropy +12%Phantom Academy · 9 maps
CachePhantom Academy ban
52%42%
Entropy · 17 mapsedge Entropy +10%Phantom Academy · 8 maps
Dust2Entropy ban
30%50%
Entropy · 16 mapsedge Phantom Academy +20%Phantom Academy · 6 maps
AnubisPhantom Academy ban
41%43%
Entropy · 13 mapsnearly even -2%Phantom Academy · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
47%43%
Entropy · 11 mapsnearly even +4%Phantom Academy · 3 maps
NukePhantom Academy pick
60%50%
Entropy · 6 mapsedge Entropy +10%Phantom Academy · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEntropy remove Dust2
2. BanPhantom Academy remove Anubis
3. PickEntropy take Mirage
4. PickPhantom Academy take Nuke
5. BanPhantom Academy remove Cache
6. BanEntropy remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (47% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Entropy 54%Phantom Academy 46%
The model gave 54% on Entropy — the map was taken by Phantom Academy.
Model check result
Model favoritePhantom Academy · 54%
Series resultPhantom Academy 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1