CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Entropy#159 in the world · win 2:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SAW#61 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEntropy pick
50%33%
Entropy · 8 mapsedge Entropy +17%SAW · 5 maps
Anubispossible decider
45%43%
Entropy · 7 mapsnearly even +2%SAW · 3 maps
MirageSAW ban
36%29%
Entropy · 7 mapsedge Entropy +7%SAW · 3 maps
Dust2Entropy ban
50%50%
Entropy · 2 mapsnearly even +0%SAW · 6 maps
InfernoSAW pick
33%67%
Entropy · 2 mapsedge SAW +34%SAW · 5 maps
OverpassSAW ban
38%50%
Entropy · 4 mapsedge SAW +12%SAW · 0 maps
NukeEntropy ban
50%33%
Entropy · 0 mapsedge Entropy +17%SAW · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEntropy remove Nuke
2. BanSAW remove Overpass
3. PickEntropy take Ancient
4. PickSAW take Inferno
5. BanSAW remove Mirage
6. BanEntropy remove Dust2
DeciderAnubis (45% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Entropy 50%SAW 50%
The model gave 50% on Entropy — the map was taken by Entropy.
Infernoprediction correct7:13
Entropy 18%SAW 82%
The model gave 82% on SAW — the map was taken by SAW.
Dust2prediction correct22:19
Entropy 50%SAW 50%
The model gave 50% on Entropy — the map was taken by Entropy.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 52%
Series resultEntropy 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3