CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Entropy#159 in the world · win 1:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageSubtop De France ban
46%50%
Entropy · 20 mapsnearly even -4%Subtop De France · 0 maps
AncientSubtop De France ban
50%25%
Entropy · 12 mapsedge Entropy +25%Subtop De France · 4 maps
Dust2Entropy ban
31%30%
Entropy · 9 mapsnearly even +1%Subtop De France · 6 maps
AnubisEntropy ban
50%60%
Entropy · 10 mapsedge Subtop De France +10%Subtop De France · 1 map
CacheEntropy pick
58%50%
Entropy · 8 mapsedge Entropy +8%Subtop De France · 2 maps
InfernoSubtop De France pick
44%44%
Entropy · 5 mapsnearly even +0%Subtop De France · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%43%
Entropy · 2 mapsedge Entropy +7%Subtop De France · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEntropy remove Dust2
2. BanSubtop De France remove Mirage
3. PickEntropy take Cache
4. PickSubtop De France take Inferno
5. BanSubtop De France remove Ancient
6. BanEntropy remove Anubis
DeciderDefault (50% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Entropy 57%Subtop De France 43%
The model gave 57% on Entropy — the map was taken by Entropy.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 64%
Series resultEntropy 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1