ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · win 13:4series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 13:4
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientAnteiku ban
63%33%
Eternal Fire · 15 mapsedge Eternal Fire +30%Anteiku · 2 maps
MirageEternal Fire ban
56%33%
Eternal Fire · 14 mapsedge Eternal Fire +23%Anteiku · 2 maps
CacheAnteiku ban
58%50%
Eternal Fire · 15 mapsedge Eternal Fire +8%Anteiku · 0 maps
Dust2Anteiku ban
72%40%
Eternal Fire · 14 mapsedge Eternal Fire +32%Anteiku · 1 map
InfernoEternal Fire ban
57%60%
Eternal Fire · 10 mapsnearly even -3%Anteiku · 1 map
AnubisEternal Fire ban
54%40%
Eternal Fire · 9 mapsedge Eternal Fire +14%Anteiku · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
57%50%
Eternal Fire · 3 mapsedge Eternal Fire +7%Anteiku · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
2. BanAnteiku remove Ancient
3. BanEternal Fire remove Anubis
4. BanAnteiku remove Cache
5. BanEternal Fire remove Mirage
6. BanAnteiku remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (57% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:4
Eternal Fire 77%Anteiku 23%
The model gave 77% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 83%
Series resultEternal Fire 13:4
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1