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NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#81 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Johnny Speeds#60 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:11
Eternal Fire 47%Johnny Speeds 53%
The model gave 53% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Anubisprediction correct13:10
Eternal Fire 53%Johnny Speeds 47%
The model gave 53% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteJohnny Speeds · 52%
Series resultEternal Fire 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2