HyperX Retake Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · win 2:0series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NT#92 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEternal Fire pick
59%50%
Eternal Fire · 13 mapsedge Eternal Fire +9%NT · 0 maps
MirageNT pick
53%50%
Eternal Fire · 11 mapsnearly even +3%NT · 2 maps
Dust2Eternal Fire ban
57%50%
Eternal Fire · 10 mapsedge Eternal Fire +7%NT · 2 maps
Cachepossible decider
46%50%
Eternal Fire · 9 mapsnearly even -4%NT · 2 maps
InfernoEternal Fire ban
54%60%
Eternal Fire · 9 mapsedge NT +6%NT · 1 map
AnubisNT ban
57%50%
Eternal Fire · 3 mapsedge Eternal Fire +7%NT · 0 maps
DefaultNT ban
57%50%
Eternal Fire · 3 mapsedge Eternal Fire +7%NT · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Inferno
2. BanNT remove Anubis
3. PickEternal Fire take Ancient
4. PickNT take Mirage
5. BanNT remove Default
6. BanEternal Fire remove Dust2
DeciderCache (46% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
Eternal Fire 50%NT 50%
The model gave 50% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Cacheprediction missed16:13
Eternal Fire 49%NT 51%
The model gave 51% on NT — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 68%
Series resultEternal Fire 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2