PGL Bucharest 2027 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Eternal Fire#30 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nuclear TigeRES#53 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Eternal Fire pick
68%48%
Eternal Fire · 18 mapsedge Eternal Fire +20%Nuclear TigeRES · 25 maps
Ancientpossible decider
67%66%
Eternal Fire · 17 mapsnearly even +1%Nuclear TigeRES · 25 maps
AnubisEternal Fire ban
60%54%
Eternal Fire · 11 mapsedge Eternal Fire +6%Nuclear TigeRES · 22 maps
InfernoNuclear TigeRES pick
53%71%
Eternal Fire · 11 mapsedge Nuclear TigeRES +18%Nuclear TigeRES · 17 maps
CacheNuclear TigeRES ban
59%60%
Eternal Fire · 18 mapsnearly even -1%Nuclear TigeRES · 6 maps
MirageNuclear TigeRES ban
50%27%
Eternal Fire · 16 mapsedge Eternal Fire +23%Nuclear TigeRES · 7 maps
NukeEternal Fire ban
50%44%
Eternal Fire · 0 mapsedge Eternal Fire +6%Nuclear TigeRES · 14 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
2. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Mirage
3. PickEternal Fire take Dust2
4. PickNuclear TigeRES take Inferno
5. BanNuclear TigeRES remove Cache
6. BanEternal Fire remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (67% / 66%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed5:13
Eternal Fire 53%Nuclear TigeRES 47%
The model gave 53% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Dust2prediction missed13:16
Eternal Fire 72%Nuclear TigeRES 28%
The model gave 72% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Nuclear TigeRES.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 64%
Series resultNuclear TigeRES 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2