CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
benched gods#162 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-MANA pick
50%33%
ex-MANA · 6 mapsedge ex-MANA +17%benched gods · 2 maps
Ancientbenched gods pick
38%50%
ex-MANA · 4 mapsedge benched gods +12%benched gods · 2 maps
Anubispossible decider
40%50%
ex-MANA · 1 mapedge benched gods +10%benched gods · 2 maps
Defaultex-MANA ban
40%60%
ex-MANA · 1 mapedge benched gods +20%benched gods · 1 map
Nukeex-MANA ban
60%60%
ex-MANA · 1 mapnearly even +0%benched gods · 1 map
Infernobenched gods ban
50%60%
ex-MANA · 0 mapsedge benched gods +10%benched gods · 1 map
Miragebenched gods ban
60%50%
ex-MANA · 1 mapedge ex-MANA +10%benched gods · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-MANA remove Nuke
2. Banbenched gods remove Mirage
3. Pickex-MANA take Dust2
4. Pickbenched gods take Ancient
5. Banbenched gods remove Inferno
6. Banex-MANA remove Default
DeciderAnubis (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed12:16
ex-MANA 69%benched gods 31%
The model gave 69% on ex-MANA — the map was taken by benched gods.
Anubisprediction correct10:13
ex-MANA 37%benched gods 63%
The model gave 63% on benched gods — the map was taken by benched gods.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-MANA · 57%
Series resultbenched gods 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2