CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Misa#115 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-MANA pick
50%56%
ex-MANA · 8 mapsedge Misa +6%Misa · 21 map
MirageMisa ban
67%41%
ex-MANA · 2 mapsedge ex-MANA +26%Misa · 13 maps
AnubisMisa pick
33%50%
ex-MANA · 2 mapsedge Misa +17%Misa · 10 maps
Nukeex-MANA ban
50%43%
ex-MANA · 2 mapsedge ex-MANA +7%Misa · 10 maps
Infernoex-MANA ban
50%45%
ex-MANA · 0 mapsedge ex-MANA +5%Misa · 7 maps
Defaultpossible decider
40%50%
ex-MANA · 1 mapedge Misa +10%Misa · 4 maps
AncientMisa ban
38%50%
ex-MANA · 4 mapsedge Misa +12%Misa · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-MANA remove Nuke
2. BanMisa remove Ancient
3. Pickex-MANA take Dust2
4. PickMisa take Anubis
5. BanMisa remove Mirage
6. Banex-MANA remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (40% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:10
ex-MANA 76%Misa 24%
The model gave 76% on ex-MANA — the map was taken by ex-MANA.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
ex-MANA 41%Misa 59%
The model gave 59% on Misa — the map was taken by Misa.
Infernoprediction missed11:13
ex-MANA 55%Misa 45%
The model gave 55% on ex-MANA — the map was taken by Misa.
Model check result
Model favoriteMisa · 55%
Series resultMisa 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3