?
CCT 2026 Europe Series 7 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ex-MANA#147 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-MANA pick
48%50%
ex-MANA · 19 mapsnearly even -2%SAW Youngsters · 6 maps
MirageSAW Youngsters ban
58%42%
ex-MANA · 8 mapsedge ex-MANA +16%SAW Youngsters · 8 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%50%
ex-MANA · 8 mapsnearly even +0%SAW Youngsters · 6 maps
InfernoSAW Youngsters pick
33%75%
ex-MANA · 2 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +42%SAW Youngsters · 12 maps
Nukeex-MANA ban
30%44%
ex-MANA · 6 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +14%SAW Youngsters · 5 maps
AnubisSAW Youngsters ban
38%43%
ex-MANA · 4 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +5%SAW Youngsters · 3 maps
Cacheex-MANA ban
50%50%
ex-MANA · 2 mapsnearly even +0%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-MANA remove Cache
2. BanSAW Youngsters remove Mirage
3. Pickex-MANA take Dust2
4. PickSAW Youngsters take Inferno
5. BanSAW Youngsters remove Anubis
6. Banex-MANA remove Nuke
DeciderAncient (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
ex-MANA 69%SAW Youngsters 31%
The model gave 69% on ex-MANA — the map was taken by ex-MANA.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
ex-MANA 45%SAW Youngsters 55%
The model gave 55% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
ex-MANA 50%SAW Youngsters 50%
The model gave 50% on ex-MANA — the map was taken by ex-MANA.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW Youngsters · 56%
Series resultex-MANA 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3