ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Turma do Pagode#91 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
ex-MIBR Academy 53%Turma do Pagode 47%
The model gave 53% on ex-MIBR Academy — the map was taken by ex-MIBR Academy.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
ex-MIBR Academy 47%Turma do Pagode 53%
The model gave 53% on Turma do Pagode — the map was taken by ex-MIBR Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteTurma do Pagode · 50%
Series resultex-MIBR Academy 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2