CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Ares#103 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUBY pick
65%58%
ex-RUBY · 22 mapsedge ex-RUBY +7%G2 Ares · 8 maps
MirageG2 Ares pick
41%60%
ex-RUBY · 13 mapsedge G2 Ares +19%G2 Ares · 11 maps
Overpasspossible decider
60%50%
ex-RUBY · 11 mapsedge ex-RUBY +10%G2 Ares · 8 maps
Ancientex-RUBY ban
40%55%
ex-RUBY · 11 mapsedge G2 Ares +15%G2 Ares · 7 maps
NukeG2 Ares ban
77%50%
ex-RUBY · 18 mapsedge ex-RUBY +27%G2 Ares · 0 maps
Infernoex-RUBY ban
50%62%
ex-RUBY · 0 mapsedge G2 Ares +12%G2 Ares · 9 maps
AnubisG2 Ares ban
60%67%
ex-RUBY · 1 mapedge G2 Ares +7%G2 Ares · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUBY remove Inferno
2. BanG2 Ares remove Nuke
3. Pickex-RUBY take Dust2
4. PickG2 Ares take Mirage
5. BanG2 Ares remove Anubis
6. Banex-RUBY remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct13:11
ex-RUBY 57%G2 Ares 43%
The model gave 57% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
ex-RUBY 60%G2 Ares 40%
The model gave 60% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUBY · 55%
Series resultex-RUBY 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2