CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Oxuji#173 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeOxuji pick
60%67%
ex-RUBY · 1 mapedge Oxuji +7%Oxuji · 2 maps
Defaultex-RUBY ban
50%67%
ex-RUBY · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +17%Oxuji · 2 maps
Dust2Oxuji ban
60%60%
ex-RUBY · 1 mapnearly even +0%Oxuji · 1 map
Ancientex-RUBY pick
50%60%
ex-RUBY · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +10%Oxuji · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUBY remove Default
2. BanOxuji remove Dust2
3. Pickex-RUBY take Ancient
4. PickOxuji take Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:9
ex-RUBY 53%Oxuji 47%
The model gave 53% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Ancientprediction correct14:16
ex-RUBY 37%Oxuji 63%
The model gave 63% on Oxuji — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Dust2prediction correct13:10
ex-RUBY 50%Oxuji 50%
The model gave 50% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUBY · 61%
Series resultex-RUBY 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3