CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NEW VISION#204 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-RUSTEC pick
56%40%
ex-RUSTEC · 14 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +16%NEW VISION · 11 maps
Ancientex-RUSTEC ban
50%38%
ex-RUSTEC · 0 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +12%NEW VISION · 17 maps
AnubisNEW VISION pick
55%43%
ex-RUSTEC · 7 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +12%NEW VISION · 10 maps
Nukepossible decider
42%42%
ex-RUSTEC · 8 mapsnearly even +0%NEW VISION · 8 maps
MirageNEW VISION ban
70%40%
ex-RUSTEC · 6 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +30%NEW VISION · 6 maps
Infernoex-RUSTEC ban
44%44%
ex-RUSTEC · 5 mapsnearly even +0%NEW VISION · 5 maps
CacheNEW VISION ban
56%50%
ex-RUSTEC · 5 mapsedge ex-RUSTEC +6%NEW VISION · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-RUSTEC remove Ancient
2. BanNEW VISION remove Cache
3. Pickex-RUSTEC take Dust2
4. PickNEW VISION take Anubis
5. BanNEW VISION remove Mirage
6. Banex-RUSTEC remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (42% / 42%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed3:13
ex-RUSTEC 68%NEW VISION 32%
The model gave 68% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by NEW VISION.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
ex-RUSTEC 47%NEW VISION 53%
The model gave 53% on NEW VISION — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Anubisprediction correct19:17
ex-RUSTEC 62%NEW VISION 38%
The model gave 62% on ex-RUSTEC — the map was taken by ex-RUSTEC.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUSTEC · 54%
Series resultex-RUSTEC 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3