CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BIG Academy#215 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
55%64%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 18 mapsedge BIG Academy +9%BIG Academy · 7 maps
NukeBIG Academy ban
57%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 17 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +7%BIG Academy · 0 maps
OverpassBIG Academy pick
30%80%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 mapsedge BIG Academy +50%BIG Academy · 6 maps
InfernoBIG Academy ban
46%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 mapsnearly even -4%BIG Academy · 2 maps
Miragepossible decider
46%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 mapsnearly even -4%BIG Academy · 2 maps
Anubisex-Zero Tenacity ban
36%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 mapsedge BIG Academy +14%BIG Academy · 2 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%67%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 mapsedge BIG Academy +17%BIG Academy · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
2. BanBIG Academy remove Nuke
3. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
4. PickBIG Academy take Overpass
5. BanBIG Academy remove Inferno
6. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (46% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction missed13:8
ex-Zero Tenacity 9%BIG Academy 91%
The model gave 91% on BIG Academy — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Infernoprediction correct8:13
ex-Zero Tenacity 49%BIG Academy 51%
The model gave 51% on BIG Academy — the map was taken by BIG Academy.
Dust2prediction missed13:7
ex-Zero Tenacity 41%BIG Academy 59%
The model gave 59% on BIG Academy — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteBIG Academy · 52%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3