CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
67%58%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 14 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +9%ex-RUBY · 15 maps
Nukeex-RUBY pick
56%87%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 12 mapsedge ex-RUBY +31%ex-RUBY · 11 maps
Miragepossible decider
36%43%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 mapsedge ex-RUBY +7%ex-RUBY · 10 maps
Overpassex-Zero Tenacity ban
29%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 3 mapsedge ex-RUBY +21%ex-RUBY · 8 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%43%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +7%ex-RUBY · 10 maps
Anubisex-RUBY ban
36%60%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 mapsedge ex-RUBY +24%ex-RUBY · 1 map
Infernoex-RUBY ban
42%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 8 mapsedge ex-RUBY +8%ex-RUBY · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
2. Banex-RUBY remove Inferno
3. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
4. Pickex-RUBY take Nuke
5. Banex-RUBY remove Anubis
6. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Overpass
DeciderMirage (36% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:16
ex-Zero Tenacity 62%ex-RUBY 38%
The model gave 62% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Nukeprediction correct7:13
ex-Zero Tenacity 15%ex-RUBY 85%
The model gave 85% on ex-RUBY — the map was taken by ex-RUBY.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-RUBY · 58%
Series resultex-RUBY 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2