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CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ex-Zero Tenacity#56 in the world · win 1:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Honvéd#144 in the world · loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Honvéd pick
58%55%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 15 mapsnearly even +3%Honvéd · 34 maps
Miragepossible decider
67%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 8 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +17%Honvéd · 26 maps
CacheHonvéd ban
76%36%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 13 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +40%Honvéd · 10 maps
NukeHonvéd ban
61%56%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 14 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +5%Honvéd · 5 maps
Infernoex-Zero Tenacity pick
69%31%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +38%Honvéd · 9 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Honvéd · 14 maps
Defaultex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%75%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 4 mapsedge Honvéd +25%Honvéd · 8 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
2. BanHonvéd remove Cache
3. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Inferno
4. PickHonvéd take Dust2
5. BanHonvéd remove Nuke
6. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Default
DeciderMirage (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
ex-Zero Tenacity 25%Honvéd 75%
The model gave 75% on Honvéd — the map was taken by ex-Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 64%
Series resultex-Zero Tenacity 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1