CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Johnny Speeds#73 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
57%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 17 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +7%Johnny Speeds · 8 maps
Miragepossible decider
46%33%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 9 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +13%Johnny Speeds · 8 maps
NukeJohnny Speeds ban
55%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 16 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +5%Johnny Speeds · 0 maps
InfernoJohnny Speeds pick
42%70%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 8 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +28%Johnny Speeds · 6 maps
AnubisJohnny Speeds ban
36%33%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 mapsnearly even +3%Johnny Speeds · 5 maps
Overpassex-Zero Tenacity ban
33%63%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 5 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +30%Johnny Speeds · 4 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%63%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 mapsedge Johnny Speeds +13%Johnny Speeds · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
2. BanJohnny Speeds remove Nuke
3. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
4. PickJohnny Speeds take Inferno
5. BanJohnny Speeds remove Anubis
6. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Overpass
DeciderMirage (46% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct9:13
ex-Zero Tenacity 21%Johnny Speeds 79%
The model gave 79% on Johnny Speeds — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Dust2prediction missed5:13
ex-Zero Tenacity 60%Johnny Speeds 40%
The model gave 60% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by Johnny Speeds.
Model check result
Model favoriteJohnny Speeds · 57%
Series resultJohnny Speeds 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2