CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Nukepossible decider
57%43%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 3 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +14%Just Players · 3 maps
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity pick
57%33%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 3 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +24%Just Players · 2 maps
InfernoJust Players ban
57%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 3 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +7%Just Players · 0 maps
Mirageex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%40%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 2 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +10%Just Players · 1 map
Anubisex-Zero Tenacity ban
33%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 2 mapsedge Just Players +17%Just Players · 0 maps
DefaultJust Players ban
60%40%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 1 mapedge ex-Zero Tenacity +20%Just Players · 1 map
OverpassJust Players pick
40%60%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 1 mapedge Just Players +20%Just Players · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Anubis
2. BanJust Players remove Inferno
3. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Dust2
4. PickJust Players take Overpass
5. BanJust Players remove Default
6. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Mirage
DeciderNuke (57% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
ex-Zero Tenacity 57%Just Players 43%
The model gave 57% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by Just Players.
Nukeprediction missed6:13
ex-Zero Tenacity 67%Just Players 33%
The model gave 67% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by Just Players.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 63%
Series resultJust Players 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2