CCT 2026 Europe Series 3 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SAW#61 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2ex-Zero Tenacity ban
55%57%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 mapsnearly even -2%SAW · 3 maps
NukeSAW ban
50%33%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +17%SAW · 2 maps
Infernoex-Zero Tenacity pick
56%67%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 5 mapsedge SAW +11%SAW · 2 maps
MirageSAW ban
38%33%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 4 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +5%SAW · 2 maps
AnubisSAW pick
38%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 4 mapsedge SAW +12%SAW · 0 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
50%33%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +17%SAW · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%50%
ex-Zero Tenacity · 1 mapedge ex-Zero Tenacity +10%SAW · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
2. BanSAW remove Mirage
3. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Inferno
4. PickSAW take Anubis
5. BanSAW remove Nuke
6. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct8:13
ex-Zero Tenacity 35%SAW 65%
The model gave 65% on SAW — the map was taken by SAW.
Infernoprediction correct17:19
ex-Zero Tenacity 41%SAW 59%
The model gave 59% on SAW — the map was taken by SAW.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 55%
Series resultSAW 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 2